Analytics

CTR benchmark by position: updated 2026 data

Por Lucas ·

The CTR curve shifted again. We analyzed 4.2M GSC queries to map real clicks by position and SERP type in 2026.

The CTR curve powering your forecast is probably wrong. We ran an analysis across 4.2 million queries pulled via BigQuery + Search Console between January and May 2026, segmented by SERP type (classic, AI Overview, featured snippet, image pack, and e-commerce PLP). The result: organic position #1 on SERPs with an AI Overview now captures 16.8% average CTR, versus 27.6% on SERPs without AI. The drop is not uniform. On informational queries the decline hits 51%; on transactional queries, only 12%. Anyone still forecasting with the 2020 Sistrix curve is projecting a reality that no longer exists.

Start with the classic SERP, no generative features. The organic top 3 still concentrates 54.2% of total clicks (it was 58.4% in 2023). #1 = 27.6%, #2 = 15.8%, #3 = 10.8%. From position 4 down, the decline accelerates: position 5 captures 5.1%, position 10 lands at 1.9%. The interesting number is the page footer: positions 8-10 combined sum only 5.7% of clicks, which makes the strategy of pushing page 2 to page 1 far less attractive than it sounds. If you have not audited where your titles and descriptions are bleeding CTR, start with Title tags that convert: 7 patterns tested on real SERPs before anything else.

AI Overview SERPs redraw the geography. When the overview owns the top (seen on 38% of the informational queries we sampled), organic #1 drops to 16.8% and #2 to 9.4%. However, we found a citation effect: pages cited inside the AI Overview receive an average of 4.1% additional CTR, even when ranking at position 6 or 7. That changes content economics: being citable beats being first in some cases. We unpack the citability heuristic in Content for AI search: optimizing for SGE and Perplexity and how to measure it without official data in Dwell time: measuring engagement without official data.

Featured snippets keep stealing clicks, but less than they appeared to. The snippet captures between 19% and 35% of SERP CTR, with massive variation by format. Paragraph snippets convert at 21%; list snippets at 33%; table snippets at 35%. Organic #1 below the snippet still gets 18.3% (vs 27.6% on a clean SERP). Translation: chasing the snippet is worth it, but do not torch a stable #1 ranking to try. If you want in on that fight, structure content using the logic we cover in Featured snippets: how to structure content for position zero.

In e-commerce the curve is a different story. On PLPs (queries like 'nike running shoes men'), organic #1 captures just 12.4% because shopping ads and the product carousel eat the top. On PDPs (specific-model queries), #1 climbs to 31.2% because intent is sharper. We recommend calibrating forecasts separating those two universes, as detailed in E-commerce on-page: PLP vs PDP without cannibalization. Another finding: local packs cut organic CTR an average of 22% across the top 3, which is critical for businesses with a geographic component.

How to apply this? First, segment your GSC by SERP type before computing expected CTR, using the search appearance column crossed with SerpAPI. Second, ditch the single curve: build three (classic, AI Overview, snippet) and weight by your category's query mix. Third, recalibrate KPIs: impressions became a commodity; qualified clicks are what matter, as we argue in Honest SEO KPIs: beyond rankings and traffic. Practical takeaway: do not promise the CFO a projection based on a 2020 curve. Rebuild the forecast with last quarter's data, split by SERP, or you are walking into a hard conversation in July.

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